Reverse line movement occurs when the public betting percentage or consensus picks lean heavily on one side yet the line moves in the opposite direction, e.g., the line opens Bulls -3, Bulls receive 85% of bets, but the line closes Bulls -1. There’s also reverse line movement (or “RLM”). If winning money was as easy as fading the public, more and more people would do it until market makers adjusted their processes and it no longer worked. While this is a popular betting strategy, there’s no guarantee it will be profitable over the long run. If there are enough bettors doing this, it may distort the line and again create value on the other side. A lot of sports bettors overreact to last week’s results. The other idea is that by fading the public, we may be fading the recency bias of recreational bettors. There are also popular teams across the country like the Lakers that often receive public support. Generally speaking, the public is biased toward favorites, home teams, and overs. ![]() Contrarian bettors believe there’s value on the underdog once the line moves. The thinking behind this strategy is that we can identify and take advantage of public bias by betting against it because when the majority of bets are on one side oddsmakers react by moving the line accordingly, e.g., if the Nets open -5 and receive 88% of bets, the line will likely move to Nets -6 or -7. Some people like to take contrarian betting angles by fading the public. So do you want to follow or fade the public? To Follow or To Fade The Public? By looking at these consensus percentages, we can often determine which side of a game bookmakers are rooting for. If 72% is on the Lakers, then 72% of bets are on the Lakers. If 80% is on the Over, that means 80% of bets are on the over. ![]() NBA consensus picks tell us who the public is betting on. It’s ultimately up to you to decide how to use that information, but we have a few tips for putting it to use. One thing you can do is use this NBA consensus picks page to keep tabs on who the public is betting every night. The markets are liquid and the lines are efficient, so you want to use every data point available to find an edge when placing your NBA bets. When it comes to betting on the NBA, winning money long-term at online sportsbooks is no easy feat. While you wait for picks to come in, check out the best available bonus offers in your state! NBA Consensus Picks So bookmark this important page, along with our NBA Betting News, and tell your friends.There are no games scheduled today. We also provide the same data for college basketball, football, hockey and baseball. Another great way to get useful information for placing your bets on the NBA today is with our computer picks. Together, all NBA bettors produce a definitive NBA consensus percentage representing a large cross-section of betting society. Tell us which side of the NBA point spread or total you are picking and that tally goes into the database to be shared with the community. You will also be encouraged to add your own opinion and prediction to the discussion by clicking on the matchup report links. Here at Odds Shark, we rank the consensus NBA picks, showing you which games the public likes best, and we also dig out which online sportsbooks boast the best wagerlines on those games. However you interpret the data, knowing the NBA consensus numbers gives you critical information on the daily NBA odds and lines. ![]() It’s a contrarian view of betting that says the public will be wrong more often than right, because many are casual bettors who just like to bet favorites or bet their favorite teams. What should you do with this information and why is it important for your handicapping? There are betting strategies based on public betting trends that involve simply betting against the NBA consensus, otherwise known as "fading the public," or riding with the NBA public bets and adding into the pot of "NBA public money." That means only 22.6 percent of the NBA public betting is backing the underdog Lakers. ![]() You read that 77.4 percent of the basketball betting public is betting on the Celtics at -7.5 points. Bookmark this page for daily NBA trends to help your basketball handicapping.Īdd your pick to the consensus – click the matchup link for any game. This provides a solid look into the NBA public consensus betting data and habits on daily matchups, information you can use to go with the flow or bet against the flow. At Odds Shark (and many other sites where we gather consensus votes and expert picks), thousands of expert opinions and NBA sports betting predictions are offered on every game. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Gamesĭeciding how to bet on NBA games is one of the toughest challenges for sports bettors and having accurate NBA consensus bets data is mission-critical to cover the spread at a sportsbook.
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